Upstream Exploration & Development and Midstream Infrastructure Capex in Tanzania, Mozambique, Kenya, Uganda, with Special Focus on Rapidly Emerging Countries Ethiopia, South Sudan & Somalia
Visiongain’s comprehensive new 262 page report reveals that the East African oil & gas market will see capex of $4.19bn in 2015, including spending on both upstream exploration & development (E&D) and midstream infrastructure.
Market scope: East Africa is fast becoming one of the world’s most interesting oil and gas hotspots. For many years the area was neglected by the world’s oil and gas industry, and even in Africa it was overshadowed by the rapid development in West Africa and the established markets in North Africa. However, with the discovery of both oil & gas reserves in the region over the past five years, opportunities are being created within a number of East African nations.
East Africa covers a territory roughly six times the size of the North Sea but fewer than 600 wells have been drilled in the region to date. The reserve estimates in the region have increased rapidly over the past few years and yet only a small percentage of the region has been properly explored. The market has changed too, as major international companies are becoming involved alongside smaller companies, thus indicating the industry’s confidence in East Africa’s immense potential.
Mozambique and Tanzania’s substantial offshore gas reserves and proximity to Asian demand centres offer the potential for LNG export by the end of the decade, while Uganda and Kenya present opportunities for commercial oil production even sooner. With a significant amount of seismic activity and exploratory drilling already taking place and plans for large midstream infrastructure projects, the East African oil & gas market will attract tens of billions of dollars of investment over the coming decade.
Are you involved in the East African oil & gas market or intend to be? If so, then you must read this report It’s vital that you keep your industry knowledge up to date. You need this report.
The East African Oil & Gas Market 2015-2025 report responds to your need for definitive market data:
• Where are the East African oil & gas market opportunities? – 148 tables, charts, and graphs reveal market data allowing you to target your strategy more effectively
• When will the East African oil & gas market grow? – View East African capital expenditure forecasts, as well as analysis, from 2015-2025
• Why will the East African oil & gas market evolve? – This report features a total of 3 interviews: 2 of which are with oil experts and 1 with a security expert.
– The CEO of Swala Energy – The Managing Director of Heritage Oil Tanzania Ltd.
– The report also provides a 3rd interview with a security specialist, the Regional Director for Saladin Security. Having in Depth knowledge of the security situation is vital for businesses looking to operate in the East African region
• Which East African oil & gas submarkets will thrive from 2015-2025? – What are the key trends and factors affecting each of the East African submarkets? Stay informed about the potential for each of the East African oil & gas submarkets with capital expenditure forecasts and analysis from 2015-2025:
The Upstream Exploration & Development (E&D) Market Forecast 2015-2025, with individual country forecasts for: – Geophysical Studies – 2D Seismic Studies – 3D Seismic Studies – Onshore Wells – Offshore Wells and Subsea Development
The Midstream Infrastructure Market Forecast 2015-2025, with individual country forecasts for: – Pipelines – LNG Facilities – GTL Facilities – Refineries – Storage
• Where are the leading national East African oil & gas markets from 2015-2025? – Understand where the greatest levels of capex are currently being spent and the opportunities for growth going forward. You will see where and how opportunities exist with revealing individual market and submarket forecasts and analysis for national markets from 2015-2025. – Each national market includes both upstream E&D and midstream forecasts and spending breakdowns within each category, as well as information on each oil & gas block and an assessment of future projects and prospects: – Tanzanian Oil & Gas Market & Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 – Mozambican Oil & Gas Market & Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 – Ethiopian Oil & Gas Market & Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 – Kenyan Oil & Gas Market & Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 – South Sudanese Oil & Gas Market & Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 – Ethiopian Oil & Gas Market & Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 – Somali Oil & Gas Market & Submarket Forecast 2015-2025
• Where are the major East African oil & gas projects and Licence Blocks? – See details of 18 midstream projects – Find information on 117 licence blocks
• Who are the leading companies within the East African oil & gas? – Our report reveals the companies of central importance to this market, with detailed profiles for each. Profiles contain details of the countries and blocks each company operates in within the East African region: – Afren – Africa Oil – Anadarko – BG Group – CNOOC – ENI – Heritage Oil – Ophir Energy – Sasol – Statoil – Swala Energy – Total – Tullow – The report also contains details on all other companies in the East African market and the blocks they are involved in.
• Who should read this report? – Anyone within the oil & gas industry including – Contractors – Technologists – Suppliers – CEO’s – COO’s – Business development managers – Marketing managers – Investors – Banks – Government agencies
Get our report today East African Oil & Gas Market 2015-2025: Upstream Exploration & Development and Midstream Infrastructure Spending in Tanzania, Mozambique, Kenya, Uganda, Ethiopia, South Sudan and Somalia report. Avoid missing out – order our report now.
Visiongain is a trading partner with the US Federal Government CCR Ref number: KD4R6
1. Report Overview 1.1 East African Oil & Gas Market Overview 1.2 East African Oil & Gas Market Structure 1.3 Why You Should Read This Report 1.4 How This Report Delivers 1.5 Key Questions Covered by This Analytical Report Include 1.6 Who is This Report For? 1.7 Market Definition 1.8 Methodology 1.9 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) 1.10 Associated Visiongain Reports 1.11 About Visiongain
2. Introduction to the East African Oil & Gas Market 2.1 Critical Issues in the East African Oil and Gas Market 2.1.1 Political (In)Stability 2.1.2 Economic and Energy Sector Development 2.2 Oil Price Collapse Analysis and Forecast 2.2.1 Visiongain’s Description and Analysis of the Oil Price Collapse 2.2.2 Known Unknowns and Major Variables that Impact the Oil Price 2.2.3 Visiongain’s Oil Price Assumptions and Forecast
3. The East African Oil & Gas Market 3.1 East African Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 3.2 East African Oil & Gas Submarket Forecast 3.2.1 East African Upstream Exploration & Development (E&D) Market Forecast 2015-2025 3.2.2 East African Midstream Market Forecast 2015-2025
4. The Tanzanian Oil and Gas Market 4.1 Tanzanian Oil & Gas Markets Forecast 2015-2025 4.2 Background 4.3 Economy and Energy Sector Development 4.3.1 Infrastructure 4.3.2 Energy Supply 4.3.3 Labour Force 4.3.4 Changes to Legislation 4.4 Political Risk Assessment 4.4.1 Strengths 4.4.2 Weaknesses 4.4.3 Opportunities 4.4.4 Threats 4.4.5 Verdict 4.5 Tanzanian Production, Consumption and Reserves 4.6 Oil and Gas Sector Organisation 4.7 Tanzania’s License Blocks and Current Activity 4.7.1 BG Group and Ophir Energy in Blocks 1, 3 and 4 4.7.2 Statoil and ExxonMobil in Block 2 4.7.3 Shell’s Acquisition of BG Group in 2015 4.7.4 Plans for an LNG Terminal 4.7.5 Mnazi Bay – Dar es Salaam Gas Pipeline Completed in 2015 4.8 Tanzanian Oil & Gas Market Summary
5. The Mozambican Oil and Gas Market 5.1 Mozambican Oil & Gas Markets Forecast 2015-2025 5.2 Background 5.3 Economy and Energy Sector Development 5.3.1 Infrastructure 5.3.2 Labour Force 5.3.3 Bi-lateral Trade Partnerships 5.3.4 Unqualified Government and Public Sector 5.3.5 Demographics 5.3.6 New Petroleum Law 2014 5.4 Political Risk Assessment 5.4.1 Strengths 5.4.2 Weaknesses 5.4.3 Opportunities 5.4.4 Threats 5.4.5 Verdict 5.5 Mozambican Production, Consumption and Reserves 5.6 Oil and Gas Sector Organisation 5.7 Mozambique’s License Blocks and Current Activity 5.7.1 Great Prospects, But Also Much Uncertainty, as ENI and Anadarko Try to Establish LNG Exports 5.7.2 Sasol Begins Commercial Oil Production in Mozambique; Proposes Ambitious Investment Plan 5.7.3 Statoil Withdraws from Mozambique 5.7.4 ENRG Buys into the Buzi Block 5.7.5 Refinery Projects Highly Unlikely to Come to Fruition 5.7.6 Pipeline Plans in Mozambique 5.8 Mozambican Oil & Gas Market Summary
6. The Kenyan Oil and Gas Market 6.1 Kenyan Oil & Gas Markets Forecast 2015-2025 6.2 Background 6.3 Economy and Energy Sector Development 6.3.1 Unemployment 6.3.2 Infrastructure 6.3.3 Financial Sector 6.3.4 Tax Regime 6.4 Political Risk Assessment 6.4.1 Strengths 6.4.2 Weaknesses 6.4.3 Opportunities 6.4.4 Threats 6.4.5 Verdict 6.5 Kenyan Production, Consumption and Reserves 6.6 Oil and Gas Sector Organisation 6.7 Kenya’s License Blocks and Current Activity 6.7.1 Tullow Continues with Successful Drilling Programme 6.7.2 BG Group Makes First Offshore Oil Discovery in East Africa 6.7.3 Other Significant Activity in the Kenyan Exploration & Development Market 6.7.4 The Need for Oil & Gas Infrastructure Development 6.7.5 Kenya to Construct FSRU 6.7.6 Refinery Upgrade Abandoned; New Facility to be Built Instead as Part of Lamu Port Complex 6.7.7 Lamu Port-South Sudan-Ethiopia Transport Corridor (LAPSETT) 6.7.8 The Mombasa-Nairobi Replacement Pipeline and the Kenya-Kampala Pipeline 6.8 Kenyan Oil & Gas Market Summary
7. The Ugandan Oil and Gas Market 7.1 Ugandan Oil & Gas Markets Forecast 2015-2025 7.2 Background 7.3 Economy and Energy Sector Development 7.3.1 Oil Industry Development 7.3.2 Infrastructure 7.4 Political Risk Assessment 7.4.1 Strengths 7.4.2 Weaknesses 7.4.3 Opportunities 7.4.4 Threats 7.4.5 Verdict 7.5 Ugandan Production, Consumption and Reserves 7.6 Oil and Gas Sector Organisation 7.7 Uganda’s License Blocks and Current Activity 7.7.1 Current Activity in Blocks EA1 and EA1A 7.7.2 Current Activity in Block EA2 7.7.3 Current Activity in the EA3 Production Licence 7.7.4 Prospects for a Refinery and Pipeline in Uganda 7.7.5 Prospects for Uganda’s Associated and Non-Associated Gas 7.8 Ugandan Oil & Gas Market Summary
8. The Ethiopian Oil and Gas Market 8.1 Ethiopian Oil & Gas Markets Forecast 2015-2025 8.2 Background 8.3 Economy and Energy Sector Development 8.3.1 Infrastructure 8.3.2 Bi-lateral Trade 8.4 Political Risk Assessment 8.4.1 Strengths 8.4.2 Weaknesses 8.4.3 Opportunities 8.4.4 Threats 8.4.5 Verdict 8.5 Ethiopian Production, Consumption and Reserves 8.6 Oil and Gas Sector Organisation 8.7 Ethiopia’s License Blocks and Current Activity 8.7.1 Tullow and Partners Drill Fourth Well in Ethiopia; Suspend Activities 8.7.2 Southwest Energy Undertaking Drilling Campaign 8.7.3 New Age Find Oil & Gas in Block 8 8.7.4 Pexco Exploration Terminates Contract After Failure to Drill a Well 8.8 Ethiopian Oil & Gas Market Summary
9. The South Sudanese Oil and Gas Market 9.1 South Sudanese Oil & Gas Markets Forecast 2015-2025 9.2 Background 9.3 Economy and Energy Sector Development 9.3.1 Structurally Underdeveloped 9.3.2 Oil Dependence 9.4 Political Risk Assessment 9.4.1 Strengths 9.4.2 Weaknesses 9.4.3 Opportunities 9.4.4 Threats 9.4.5 Verdict 9.5 South Sudanese Production, Consumption and Reserves 9.6 Oil and Gas Sector Organisation 9.7 South Sudan’s License Blocks and Current Activity 9.7.1 The Impact of the Ongoing Civil War in South Sudan 9.7.2 Two Small Refineries to Come into Operation Once the Security Situation Improves 9.7.3 Potential Pipeline to Kenya 9.8 South Sudanese Oil & Gas Market Summary
10. The Somali Oil and Gas Market 10.1 Somali Oil & Gas Markets Forecast 2015-2025 10.2 Background 10.3 Economy and Energy Sector Development 10.3.1 Economic Recovery Plan 10.3.2 Sub-national Dispute 10.4 Political Risk Assessment 10.4.1 Strengths 10.4.2 Weaknesses 10.4.3 Opportunities 10.4.4 Threats 10.4.5 Verdict 10.5 Somalia’s License Blocks and Current Activity 10.5.1 Oil Field Protection Unit 10.5.2 Soma Oil & Gas Conducting Seismic Survey 10.5.3 Shell and ExxonMobil to Return to Somalia? 10.5.4 Somaliland and Puntland’s Hydrocarbons Potential 10.5.5 Companies Begin to Enter Somaliland 10.5.6 Horn Petroleum’s Activities in Puntland 10.6 Somali Oil & Gas Market Summary
11. PEST Analysis of the East African Oil & Gas Market 2015-2025 11.1 Political 11.2 Economic 11.3 Social 11.4 Technological
12. Expert Opinion 12.1 Heritage Oil 12.1.1 Heritage Oil’s Involvement in the East African Oil & Gas Market 12.1.2 Heritage Oil’s Plans in Rukwa Basin 12.1.3 Offshore Costs 12.1.4 Expansion of the Upstream E&D Market in Tanzania 12.1.5 Heritage Oil’s Plans in the Kyela Concession 12.1.6 Drilling Programme 12.1.7 Commercial Export Infrastructure 12.1.8 Security Concerns in East Africa 12.1.9 Impact of Oil Price Crash 12.1.10 Summary of Main Challenges 12.2 Swala Energy 12.2.1Swala Energy’s Involvement in the East African Oil & Gas Market 12.2.2 Security Concerns in East Africa 12.2.3 Opportunities, but Uncertainty in East Africa 12.3 Saladin Security 12.3.1 Saladin Security’s Involvement in the East African Oil & Gas Market 12.3.2 Personal Experience 12.3.3 Saladin Security’s Experience in Somalia 12.3.4 Offshore Potential in Somalia 12.3.5 Onshore Potential in Somalia 12.3.6 Dealings with the Somali Government 12.3.7 Kenyan-Somali Relations 12.3.8 Saladin Security’s Experience in Kenya 12.3.9 Saladin Security’s Experience in South Sudan 12.3.10 International Intervention in Somalia 12.3.11 Impact of the Oil Price Crash 12.3.12 Concluding Remarks
13. Leading Companies in the East African Oil & Gas Market 13.1 Afren 13.2 Africa Oil 13.3 Anadarko 13.4 BG Group 13.5 CNOOC 13.6 ENI 13.7 Heritage Oil 13.8 Ophir Energy 13.9 Sasol 13.10 Statoil 13.11 Swala Energy 13.12 Total 13.13 Tullow Oil 13.14 Other Companies in the East African Oil & Gas Market
14. Conclusions & Recommendations 14.1East Africa Oil & Gas Market Outlook 14.2 Key Findings in the East African Oil & Gas Market 14.3 Recommendations for the East African Oil & Gas Market
15. Glossary
List of Tables Table 1.1 SAMPLE East African Oil and Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Table 2.1 East African Countries’ Economic Indicators Summary Table 2.2 East African Countries’ Global Competitiveness Report 2014 Scores Table 2.3 East African Countries’ Corruption Perception Index 2013 Scores (Out of 175) Table 2.4 East African Countries’ Doing Business 2013 Scores Table 2.5 Visiongain’s Anticipated Mean Yearly WTI Oil Price (2015, 2016, 2017-2020, 2021-2025) $/Barrel Table 3.1 East African Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 3.2 East African Oil & Gas Upstream Exploration & Development (E&D) Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 3.3 East African Oil & Gas Upstream Exploration & Development (E&D) Submarket Forecast by National Market 2015-2025 ($m, AGR%) Table 3.4 East African Oil & Gas Upstream Exploration & Development (E&D) Submarket Forecast by Project Type 2015-2025 ($m) Table 3.5 East African Oil & Gas Midstream Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 3.6 East African Oil & Gas Midstream Submarket Forecast by National Market 2015-2025 ($m, AGR%) Table 3.7 East African Oil & Gas Midstream Submarket Forecast by Project Type 2015-2025 ($m) Table 3.8 East African Oil & Gas Midstream Projects (Country, Project, Announced Start Date, Likely Start Date, Cost Estimate [$m]) Table 4.1 Tanzanian Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 4.2 Tanzanian Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D Capex by Project ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 4.3 Tanzanian Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Midstream Capex by Project ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 4.4 Tanzania Economic Indicators Table 4.5 Tanzanian Competitiveness and Corruption Indices Table 4.6 Tanzania Political Risk Indices Table 4.7 Tanzanian Oil & Gas Sector Organisation Overview Table 4.8 Tanzanian Licence Blocks (Operator, Block, Onshore/Offshore km2, Other Companies, Status) Table 4.9 Tanzanian Oil & Gas Market Drivers & Restraints Table 5.1 Mozambican Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 5.2 Mozambican Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D Capex by Project ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 5.3 Mozambican Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D Capex by Project ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 5.4 Mozambique Economic Indicators Table 5.5 Mozambique Competitiveness and Corruption Indices Table 5.6 Mozambique Political Risk Indices Table 5.7 Mozambique Oil & Gas Sector Organisation Overview Table 5.8 Mozambique’s Licence Blocks (Operator, Block, km2, Other Companies, Status) Table 5.9 Mozambique Oil & Gas Market Drivers & Restraints Table 6.1 Kenyan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 6.2 Kenyan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D Capex by Project ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 6.3 Kenyan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Midstream Capex by Project ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 6.4 Kenyan Economic Indicators Table 6.5 Kenya Competitiveness and Corruption Indices Table 6.6 Kenya Political Risk Indices Table 6.7 Kenyan Oil & Gas Sector Organisation Overview Table 6.8 Kenyan Licence Blocks (Operator, Block, km2, Other Companies, Status) Table 6.9 Kenyan Oil & Gas Market Drivers & Restraints Table 7.1 Ugandan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 7.2 Ugandan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D Capex by Project ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 7.3 Ugandan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Midstream Capex by Project ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 7.4 Ugandan Economic Indicators Table 7.5 Ugandan Competitiveness and Corruption Indices Table 7.6 Uganda Political Risk Indices Table 7.7 Ugandan Oil & Gas Sector Organisation Overview Table 7.8 Ugandan Licence Blocks (Operator, Block, km2, Other Companies, Status) Table 7.9 Ugandan Oil & Gas Market Drivers & Restraints Table 8.1 Ethiopian Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 8.2 Ethiopian Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D Capex by Project ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 8.3 Ugandan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Midstream Capex by Project ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 8.4 Ethiopian Economic Indicators Table 8.5 Ethiopian Competitiveness and Corruption Indices Table 8.6 Ethiopia Political Risk Indices Table 8.7 Ethiopian Oil & Gas Sector Organisation Overview Table 8.8 Ethiopian Licence Blocks (Operator, Block, km2, Other Companies, Status) Table 8.9 Ethiopian Oil & Gas Market Drivers & Restraints Table 9.1 South Sudanese Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 9.2 South Sudanese Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D Capex by Project ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 9.3 South Sudanese Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Midstream Capex by Project ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 9.4 South Sudan Economic Indicators Table 9.5 South Sudan Competitiveness and Corruption Indices Table 9.6 South Sudan Political Risk Indices Table 9.7 South Sudanese Oil & Gas Sector Organisation Overview Table 9.8 South Sudanese Licence Blocks (Operator, Block, Exploration/Production, Other Companies, Status) Table 9.9 South Sudanese Oil & Gas Market Drivers & Restraints Table 10.1 Somali Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 10.2 South Sudanese Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D Capex by Project ($m, AGR%, CAGR%, Cumulative) Table 10.3 Somali Economic Indicators Table 10.4 Somali Competitiveness and Corruption Indices Table 10.5 Somalia Political Risk Indices Table 10.6 Somalia Licence Blocks (Operator, Block, Other Companies, Status) Table 10.7 Somali Oil & Gas Market Drivers & Restraints Table 13.1 Afren’s East African Licence Blocks (Country, Operator, Block, Onshore / Offshore, Other Companies, Status) Table 13.2 Africa Oil’s East African Licence Blocks (Country, Operator, Block, Onshore / Offshore, Other Companies, Status) Table 13.3 Anadarko’s East African Licence Blocks (Country, Operator, Block, Onshore / Offshore, Other Companies, Status) Table 13.4 BG Group’s East African Licence Blocks (Country, Operator, Block, Onshore / Offshore, Other Companies, Status) Table 13.5 CNOOC’s East African Licence Blocks (Country, Operator, Block, Onshore / Offshore, Other Companies, Status) Table 13.6 ENI’s East African Licence Blocks (Country, Operator, Block, Onshore / Offshore, Other Companies, Status) Table 13.7 Heritage Oil’s East African Licence Blocks (Country, Operator, Block, Onshore / Offshore, Other Companies, Status) Table 13.8 Ophir Energy’s East African Licence Blocks (Country, Operator, Block, Onshore / Offshore, Other Companies, Status) Table 13.9 Sasol’s East African Licence Blocks (Country, Operator, Block, Onshore / Offshore, Other Companies, Status) Table 13.10 Statoil’s East African Licence Blocks (Country, Operator, Block, Onshore / Offshore, Other Companies, Status) Table 13.11 Swala Energy’s East African Licence Blocks (Country, Operator, Block, Onshore / Offshore, Other Companies, Status) Table 13.12 Total’s East African Licence Blocks (Country, Operator, Block, Onshore / Offshore, Other Companies, Status) Table 13.13 Tullow Oil’s East African Licence Blocks (Country, Operator, Block, Onshore / Offshore, Other Companies, Status) Table 13.14 Other Companies Operating Blocks in the East African Oil & Gas Market (Company, Country, Block, Other Companies, Status)
List of Figures Figure 1.1 Global Oil Consumption (Million Barrels per Day) and Gas Consumption (Trillion Cubic Feet) Forecasts 2010-2040 Figure 1.2 East African Oil and Gas Market Structure Overview Figure 1.3 East African Oil and Gas Market Upstream E&D and Midstream Breakdown Figure 2.1 East African Countries’ GDP Growth 2005-2014 (% Change) Figure 2.2 East African Countries’ Inflation 2004-2013 (% Change) Figure 2.3 Regional East African Population Growth Forecast 2005-2018 Figure 2.4 Country East African Population Growth Forecast 2005-2018 Figure 2.5 WTI and Brent Oil Prices 2003-2014 ($/Barrel) Figure 2.6 Weekly WTI and Brent Oil Prices (week of February 07, 2014 – June 05, 2015 ($/Barrel) Figure 2.7 Chinese and Indian Annual GDP Growth 2005-2014e (%) Figure 2.8 US Refined Product Consumption January 03 2014 to June 03 2015 (4 Week Average) (Thousand Bpd) Figure 2.9 Visiongain’s Anticipated WTI Oil Price, High Oil Price Scenario and Low Price Scenario (2015, 2016, 2017-2020, 2021-2025) $/Barrel Figure 3.1 East African Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 ($m, AGR%) Figure 3.2 East African Oil & Gas Upstream Exploration & Development (E&D) Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 ($m, AGR%) Figure 3.3 East African Oil & Gas Upstream Exploration & Development (E&D) Submarket Forecast by National Market 2015-2025 ($m Figure 3.4 East African Oil & Gas Upstream Exploration & Development (E&D) Submarket Forecast by Project Type 2015 Figure 3.5 East African Oil & Gas Upstream Exploration & Development (E&D) Submarket Forecast by Project Type 2015-2025 ($m) Figure 3.6 East African Oil & Gas Midstream Submarket Forecast 2015-2025 ($m, AGR%) Figure 3.7 East African Oil & Gas Midstream Submarket Forecast by National Market 2015-2025 ($m Figure 3.8 East African Oil & Gas Midstream Submarket Forecast by Project Type 2015-2025 ($m) Figure 4.1 Tanzanian Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m) Figure 4.2 Tanzanian Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Upstream Capex ($m) Figure 4.3 Tanzanian Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Midstream Capex ($m) Figure 4.4 Tanzanian Oil & Gas Market Share Forecast 2015, 2020 and 2025 (% Share) Figure 4.5 Tanzanian Infrastructure Projects Figure 4.6 Tanzania Oil Consumption 2004-2013 (Thousand bpd) and Gas Production & Consumption 2004-2012 (Billion Cubic Feet) Figure 4.7 Tanzanian Licence Blocks Figure 4.8 The Top 10 LNG Importing Countries (MTPA) 2014 Figure 5.1 Mozambican Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m) Figure 5.2 Tanzanian Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Upstream Capex ($m) Figure 5.3 Tanzanian Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Midstream Capex ($m) Figure 5.4 Mozambican Oil & Gas Market Share Forecast 2015, 2020 and 2025 (% Share) Figure 5.5 Mozambique Infrastructure Projects Figure 5.6 Mozambique Sedimentary Basins Figure 6.1 Kenyan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m) Figure 6.2 Kenyan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Upstream Capex ($m) Figure 6.3 Kenyan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Midstream Capex ($m) Figure 6.4 Kenyan Oil & Gas Market Share Forecast 2015, 2020 and 2025 (% Share) Figure 6.5 Kenya share of GDP by sector Figure 6.6 Kenyan Infrastructure Projects Figure 6.7 Kenyan Sedimentary Basins Figure 6.8 LAPSETT Figure 7.1 Ugandan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m) Figure 7.2 Ugandan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Upstream Capex ($m) Figure 7.3 Ugandan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Upstream Capex ($m) Figure 7.4 Ugandan Oil & Gas Market Share Forecast 2015, 2020 and 2025 (% Share) Figure 7.5 Ugandan Infrastructure Projects Figure 7.6 Ugandan Sedimentary Basins Figure 7.7 Ugandan Licence Blocks Figure 8.1 Ethiopian Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m) Figure 8.2 Ethiopian Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Upstream Capex ($m) Figure 8.3 Ethiopian Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Upstream Capex ($m) Figure 8.4 Ethiopian Oil & Gas Market Share Forecast 2015, 2020 and 2025 (% Share) Figure 8.5 Ethiopia Infrastructure Projects Figure 9.1 South Sudanese Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m) Figure 9.2 South Sudan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Upstream Capex ($m) Figure 9.3 South Sudan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Upstream Capex ($m) Figure 9.4 South Sudanese Oil & Gas Market Share Forecast 2015, 2020 and 2025 (% Share) Figure 9.5 South Sudanese Infrastructure Projects Figure 9.6 South Sudanese Licence Blocks Figure 10.1 Somali Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025: Upstream E&D and Midstream Capex ($m) Figure 10.2 Somali Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Upstream Capex ($m) Figure 10.3 Kenyan Oil & Gas Market Forecast 2015-2025 Midstream Capex ($m) Figure 10.4 Somali Oil & Gas Market Share Forecast 2015, 2020 and 2025 (% Share) Figure 10.5 Somalia share of GDP by sector Figure 10.6 Somali Infrastructure Projects
A-Z Petroleum Adamantine Energy Afar Exploration Afren African Camp Solutions Ltd. Africa Oil Corp. Agriterra Aminex plc Anadarko Ansan Wikfs Antrim Resources Apache Energy Asian Resource Company (ARC) Arco Artumas Avana Petroleum A-Z Petroleum Beach Petroleum BG Group Black Marlin Energy Black Rhino Group Bounty Oil and Gas BowLeven BP BPRL Buzi Hydrocarbons Calvalley Petrol Camac Energy Centric Energy CESPA CNOOC CNPC ConocoPhillips Cove Energy plc Daewoo Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering (DSME) DAR Petroleum Operating Company Ltd DNO International Dodsal Dominion Petroleum Edgo Energy ExxonMobil Empresa Nacional de Hidrocarbonetos (ENH) ENI S.p.A. ENRG ERHC Energy Erin Energy Essar Falcon Petroleum FAR Limited Flow Energy Fluor Galp Energia Gazprom Gelombang Seismic Indonesia (GSI) Genel Energy Geoventures Gigamethanol BV Greater Pioneer Operating Company (GPOC) Harmattan Heritage Oil Hollick Trading Horn Petroleum Hydrotanz Hyundai Heavy Industries (HHI) Imara Energy Incitec Group Inpex Jacka Resources JGC Corp Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation (JOGMEC) Kalila Energi KBR Kenya Petroleum Refineries Ltd. Kenya Pipeline Company (KPC) Kogas Lamu Oil & Gas Lion Energy Lion Petroleum Marathon Oil Maurel & Prom Midway Resources Milio Minergy Resources Ltd Mitsui E&P Motherland Industries ltd Mott-MacDonald Mubadala Petroleum National Oil Corporation of Kenya (NOCK) Ndovu Resources Neptune Petroleum New Age Ltd. Nilepet NOR Energy Oil India Ltd. Oilmoz ONGC Open Acreage Ophir Energy Orca Exploration Origin Energy Otto Energy Pacific Seaboard Investments PanAfrican Energy Pancontinental Oil & Gas Pavilion Energy Petrobras Petrodel Resources Limited Petronas Petroquest PetroSA Petrosoma PetroTrans Pexco Platform Resources Premier Oil Limited PT Energy Mega Persada (ENRG) PTT Exploration and Production plc Radyolla Group Range Resources Ras Al Khaimah Gas Tanzania Ltd (RAK Gas) Red Emperor Rift Energy Rosneft Royal Dutch Shell RT-Global Resources Safinat Saipem Saladin Security Services Samsung Heavy Industries (SHI) Sasol SeaBird Exploration Signet Petroleum Simba Energy Sinopec SK Energy Co Sohi Gas Dodori Sohi Gas Lamu Solo Oil plc Southwest Energy Star Petroleum Statoil Sterling Energy Sudd Petroleum Operating Company Ltd (SPOC) Swala Energy Swiss Oil Company Taipan Resources Inc. Tamoil Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation (TPDC) Technip Total S.A. Tower Resources Transglobal Petroleum Tri-Ocean Energy Tullow Oil Turkana Resources Vanoil Ventech Engineers International Veteran Security Services Videocon Hydrocarbon Holdings Limited Wentworth Resources Limited Winter Sky Woodside Zarara
Government Agencies and Other Organisations Mentioned in This Report African Influence Exchange (AIE) Al-Shabaab Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) East African Community (EAC) Energy Information Administration (EIA) Ethiopian Ministry of Mines Export – Import Bank of China Foreign Policy (FP) Heritage Institute for Policy Studies ICC Commercial Crime Services Instituto Nacional de Petroleo International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) International Criminal Court (ICC) Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA) Kenyan Ministry of Energy Mozambican Ministry of Mineral Resources National Oil Corporation of Kenya (NOCK) Ogaden National Liberation Front (ONLF) South Sudanese Ministry of Energy Tanzanian Ministry of Energy and Minerals Transparency International Ugandan Ministry of Energy and Mineral Development Ugandan Revenue Authority United Nations (UN) UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) United States Agency for International Development (USAID) World Bank (WB) World Economic Forum (WEF)
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Visiongain energy reports are compiled using a broad and rich mixture of both primary and secondary information to produce an overall industry outlook. In order to provide our clients with the best product possible product, we do not rely on any one single source of information. Visiongain analysts reach out to market-leading vendors and industry experts where possible but also review a wealth of financial data and product information from a vast range of sources. To find out more about our reports methodology, please email sara.peerun@visiongain.com
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