1. Executive Summary
1.1 Key Developments in the Global Copper Market 2010-2020
2. Introduction to the Copper Market
2.1 Typical Applications of Copper
2.1.1 Energy Transmission
2.1.2 Data and Signal Transmission
2.1.3 Automotive
2.1.4 Electronic Transmission
2.2 New Applications of Copper
2.2.1 Electrical Propulsion
2.2.2 Renewable Energy
2.2.3 Aquaculture
2.2.4 Hygienic Surfaces
2.3 Copper Supply Chain
2.3.1 Mining and Crushing
2.3.2 Grinding
2.3.3 Concentrating
2.3.4 Solvent Extraction and Electrowining (SX/EW)
2.4 Smelting
2.4.1 Flash Smelting
2.4.2 ISASMELT
2.5 Electrolytic Refining
2.5.1 Pure Copper Cathode
2.6 Benefits of this Report
3. The Global Copper Market
3.1 Recent Trends in the Global Copper Market
3.1.2 Market Size
3.2 Global Copper Demand
3.2.1 Regional Trends
3.2.2 Industrial Trends in Copper Use
3.2.3 Income Per-capita and Copper Consumption
3.3 Copper Price Forecast 2010-2020
3.3.1 Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
3.3.2 Currency Movements
3.3.3 Cost of Inputs
3.4 Global Copper Supply
3.4.1 Production of Copper Ores and Concentrates
3.4.2 Mine Capacity Utilisation
3.4.3 Copper Scrap
3.4.4 Global Copper Smelting Capacity
3.4.5 Global Copper Refining Capacity
4. The Regional Copper Markets
4.1 The Asian Copper Market Forecast
4.1.1 Asian Copper Consumption Forecast
4.1.2 Asian Copper Production Forecast
4.1.3 External Trade
4.1.4 The Chinese Copper Market
4.1.4.1 Copper Wire-rod
4.1.4.2 China's Underlying Need
4.1.4.3 State Directed Action
4.1.4.4 Chinese Production of Copper Ores and Concentrates
4.1.4.5 Chinese Mining Investment Overseas
4.1.4.6 Chinese Smelting and Refining Capacity
4.1.4.7 The Guixi Smelter and Refinery
4.1.5 The Indian Copper Market
4.1.5.1 Indian Infrastructure Development
4.1.5.2 Indian End Use Manufacturing
4.1.5.3 Rising Disposable Income
4.1.5.4 Indian Copper Usage Trends
4.2 The EU-27 Copper Market Forecast
4.2.1 EU- 27 Copper Consumption Trends
4.2.2 EU-27 Copper Production of Concentrates
4.2.3 EU-27 External Copper Trade
4.2.4 The EU-27 Scrap Metal Market
4.2.5 'Upstream' Copper Activities in the EU-27
4.2.6 The Relative Efficiency of European 'Upstream' Copper Activities
4.2.7 'Downstream' Activities in the EU-27
4.2.8 Prospects for European Demand
4.2.8.1 Developments in Antimicrobial Applications for Copper
4.2.8.2 Major Renewable Energy Projects
4.2.9 The Belgian Copper Market
4.2.9.1 Aurubis AG
4.2.9.2 Umicore
4.2.9.3 Metallo - Chimique
4.2.10 The German Copper Market
4.2.11 The Italian Copper Market
4.3 The North American Copper Market Forecast
4.3.1 North American Copper Consumption Forecast
4.3.2 North American Copper Production Forecast
4.3.3 The US Copper Market
4.3.3.1 US Copper Consumption Trends
4.3.3.2 End Use Industries
4.3.3.3 The Decline of US Brass and Wire Mills
4.3.3.4 US Production of Ores and Concentrates
4.3.3.5 The Morenci Mine
4.3.3.6 The Bingham Canyon Mine
4.3.3.7 The Bagdad Mine
4.3.3.8 The Chino Mine
4.3.3.9 Other 'Upstream' Activities
4.3.3.10 Scrap Metal
4.3.3.11 US Scrap Exports to China
4.3.4 US External Copper Trade
4.3.5 Outlook for the US Copper Market
4.4 Other European Copper Market Forecast
4.4.1 Other European Copper Consumption Forecast
4.4.2 Other European Copper Production Forecast
4.4.3 The Russian Copper Market
4.4.3.1 Russian Copper Consumption Trends
4.4.3.2 Russian Copper Production Trends
4.4.3.3 Russian 'Upstream' Activities
4.5 ASEAN - 10 Copper Market Forecast
4.5.1 ASEAN - 10 Copper Consumption Forecast
4.5.2 ASEAN - 10 Copper Production Forecast
4.6 The Latin American Copper Market Forecast
4.6.1 Latin American Copper Consumption Forecast
4.6.2 Latin American Copper Production Forecast
4.6.3 Chilean Copper Market
4.6.3.1 Codelco
4.6.3.2 Escondida
4.6.3.3 Chilean External Copper Markets
4.6.3.4 Chilean Copper Production Developments
4.6.4 Peru
4.6.4.1 Company Activity in Peru
4.6.4.2 The Antamina Mine
4.6.4.3 Cerro Verde
4.6.4.4 Cuajone
4.6.4.5 Toquepala
4.6.4.6 The Investment Potential of Peru
4.6.4.7 Las Bambas Project
4.6.4.8 Mount Toromocho
4.6.4.9 Antapaccay
4.6.4.10 Peruvian External Copper Markets
4.7 The African Copper Market Forecast
4.7.1 African Copper Consumption Forecast
4.7.2 African Copper Production Forecast
4.7.3 Chinese Investment in African Copper Production
4.7.4 Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Copper Market
4.7.5 Zambian Copper Market
4.8 Oceania Copper Market Forecast
4.8.1 Oceania Copper Consumption Forecast
4.8.2 Oceania Copper Production Forecast
4.8.3 The Australian Copper Market
4.8.3.1 Australian Copper Production Trends
4.8.3.2 Olympic Dam
4.8.3.3 Australian External Copper Trade
4.9 Asia CIS Copper Market Forecast
4.9.1 Asia CIS Copper Consumption Forecast
4.9.2 Asia CIS Copper Production Forecast
5. SWOT Analysis of the Copper Market 2010-2020
5.1 Strengths
5.1.1 Infrastructure Requirements from China and India
5.1.2 Increasing Household Incomes in China and India
5.1.3 Maturation of Mining Projects
5.1.4 Recyclability of Copper
5.1.5 The Inherent Properties of Copper vs. Other Metals
5.2 Weaknesses
5.2.1 Price Volatility
5.2.2 Declining Ore Grades
5.2.3 Overcapacity in Smelting and Refining
5.2.4 Regulatory Asymmetries
5.3 Opportunities
5.3.1 New End Use Markets
5.3.2 Scrap Metal Activities
5.3.3 Technologically Advanced Exploration Activities
5.4 Threats
5.4.1 The Fragility of the Global Economic Recovery
5.4.2 Fiscal Austerity
5.4.3 Higher Interest Rates
5.4.4 Instability in Key Producing Countries
5.4.5 Environmental Concerns
6. Expert Opinion
6.1 Ian Hetherington, British Metal Recycling Association (BMRA)
6.1.1 Key Trends Impacting the Scrap Copper Market
6.1.2 Investment Buyer Influence in the Copper Market
6.1.3 Copper's Profile as an Investment Vehicle
6.1.4 End Use Sources of Scrap
6.1.5 Copper Scrap Supply Chain
6.1.6 Growth Potential in Copper Scrap Supply
6.1.7 Demand for Copper Scrap
6.1.8 Trends in Chinese Copper Scrap Usage
6.1.9 Impact of Regulations
6.1.10 European Supply and Demand of Copper Scrap
6.2 Géraud Servin, European Copper Institute (ECI)
6.2.1 Impact of Regulatory Asymmetries on European Smelting and Refining
6.2.2 Scope for Additional Efficiency Gains in Smelting and Refining
6.2.3 International Reach of Environmental Regulations
6.2.4 Impact of Copper Price on the Smelting and Refining Industry
6.2.5 Declining Profitability in Smelting and Refining
6.2.6 Cost Benefits of Secondary Smelting and Refining
6.2.7 European Comparative Advantage in Secondary Processing
6.2.8 Principal Sources of Copper Scrap
6.2.9 Disadvantages of Secondary Processing
6.2.10 European Preferences for Secondary Copper
6.2.11 Obstacles to the European Mining Sector
6.2.12 Potential Rejuvenation of European Mining Activities
6.2.13 New End Use Applications for Copper
7. Leading Companies in the Copper Market
7.1 Supply-side or 'Upstream' Copper Companies
7.1.1 Codelco
7.1.2 Freeport - McMoran Copper & Gold
7.1.3 Xstrata Plc.
7.1.4 Rio Tinto Plc.
7.1.5 Anglo American
7.1.6 Grupo Mexico SAB de CV
7.1.7 BHP Bilition
7.1.8 KGHM Polska Miedz SA
7.1.9 Antofagasta Plc.
7.1.10 Norilsk Nickel
7.2 Demand Side or 'Downstream' Copper Companies
7.2.1 Lihua International
7.2.2 Aurubis
7.2.3 Hindustan Copper Ltd. (HCL)
7.2.4 KME Group SpA
7.2.5 Luvata
7.2.6 Encore Wire Corporation
7.2.7 MKM
8. Conclusions
8.1 Global Refined Copper Market Forecast
8.2 Global Refined Copper Consumption Forecast
8.3 Global Refined Copper Production Forecast
8.4 Average Refined Copper Price Forecast
8.5 Regional Refined Copper Market Outlook
8.6 Concluding Copper Market Outlook
9. Glossary
List of Tables
Table 3.1 Global Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn, AGR %)
Table 3.2 Global Refined Copper Market Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 3.3 Regional Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn, AGR %)
Table 3.4 Regional Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 3.5 Average Copper Price Forecast 2010-2020 ($/ ton, AGR %)
Table 3.6 Average Copper Price Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 3.7 Global Mined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 3.8 Global Mined Copper Production Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 3.9 Global Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 3.10 Global Refined Copper Production Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 3.11 Regional Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.1 Asian Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn, AGR %)
Table 4.2 Asian Refined Copper Market Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.3 Asian Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.4 Asian Refined Copper Consumption Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.5 Asian Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.6 Asian Refined Copper Production Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.7 EU-27 Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn, AGR %)
Table 4.8 EU-27 Refined Copper Market Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.9 EU-27 Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.10 EU-27 Refined Copper Consumption Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.11 EU-27 Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.12 EU-27 Refined Copper Production Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.13 North American Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn, AGR %)
Table 4.14 North American Refined Copper Market Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.15 North American Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.16 North American Refined Copper Consumption Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.17 North American Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.18 North American Refined Copper Production Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.19 US Mined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.20 US Mined Refined Copper Production Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.21 Other Europe Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn, AGR %)
Table 4.22 Other Europe Refined Copper Market Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.23 Other Europe Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.24 Other Europe Refined Copper Consumption Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.25 Other Europe Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.26 Other Europe Refined Copper Production Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.27 ASEAN - 10 Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn, AGR %))
Table 4.28 ASEAN - 10 Refined Copper Market Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.29 ASEAN - 10 Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.30 ASEAN - 10 Refined Copper Consumption Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.31 ASEAN - 10 Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.32 ASEAN - 10 Refined Copper Production Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.33 Latin American Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn, AGR %)
Table 4.34 Latin American Refined Copper Market Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.35 Latin American Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.36 Latin American Refined Copper Consumption Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.37 Latin American Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.38 Latin American Refined Copper Production Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.39 African Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn, AGR %)
Table 4.40 African Refined Copper Market Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.41 African Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.42 African Refined Copper Consumption Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.43 African Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.44 African Refined Copper Production Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.45 Oceania Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn, AGR %)
Table 4.46 Oceania Refined Copper Market Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.47 Oceania Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.48 Oceania Refined Copper Consumption Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.49 Oceania Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.50 Oceania Refined Copper Production Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.51 Asia CIS Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn, AGR %)
Table 4.52 Asia CIS Refined Copper Market Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.53 Asia CIS Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.54 Asia CIS Refined Copper Consumption Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 4.55 Asia CIS Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT, AGR %)
Table 4.56 Asia CIS Refined Copper Production Forecast CAGR (%) 2010-2020, 2010-2015 and 2015-2020
Table 5.1 SWOT Analysis of the Copper Market 2010-2020
Table 7.1 Top 10 Producers of Copper Concentrates 2010 (tons, share %)
Table 7.2 Leading 'Downstream' Copper Companies (Revenue $m, AGR % 2008-2009)
List of Figures
Figure 1.1 Global Copper Market Mined Production, Refined Production and Refined Consumption 2008-2010 ('000 tons)
Figure 1.2 Regional Copper Consumption 2010 (%)
Figure 1.3 Leading Country Copper Consumption 2010 (%)
Figure 3.1 Global Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn)
Figure 3.2 Regional Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn)
Figure 3.3 Regional Refined Copper Consumption 2010 (%)
Figure 3.4 Regional Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 3.5 Regional Refined Copper Consumption 2015 (%)
Figure 3.6 Regional Refined Copper Consumption 2020 (%)
Figure 3.7 Global Refined Copper Consumption by End Use 2010 (%)
Figure 3.8 Chinese Refined Copper Consumption by End Use 2010 (%)
Figure 3.9 European Refined Copper Consumption by End Use 2010 (%)
Figure 3.10 Average Refined Copper Price Forecast 2010-2020 ($/ton)
Figure 3.11 Global Mined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 3.12 End Use Sources of Copper Scrap 2010 (%)
Figure 3.13 Global Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.1 Asian Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn)
Figure 4.2 Asian Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.3 Asian vs. Chinese Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.4 Asian Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.5 Chinese Refined Copper Usage by End Use Product 2010 (%)
Figure 4.6 EU-27 Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn)
Figure 4.7 EU-27 Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.8 EU-27 Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.9 North American Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn)
Figure 4.10 North American Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.11 North American Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.12 US Refined Copper Consumption by End Use Destination 2010 (%)
Figure 4.13 US Refined Copper Consumption by End Use Products 2010 (%)
Figure 4.14 US Mined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.15 Other European Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn)
Figure 4.16 Other European Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.17 Other European Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.18 ASEAN - 10 Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn)
Figure 4.19 ASEAN - 10 Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.20 ASEAN - 10 Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.21 Latin American Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn)
Figure 4.22 Latin American Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.23 Latin American Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.24 African Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn)
Figure 4.25 African Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.26 African Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.27 Oceania Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn)
Figure 4.28 Oceania Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.29 Oceania Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.30 Asia CIS Refined Copper Market Forecast 2010-2020 ($bn)
Figure 4.31 Asia CIS Refined Copper Consumption Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 4.32 Asia CIS Refined Copper Production Forecast 2010-2020 (MMT)
Figure 7.1 Top 10 Producers of Copper Concentrate 2010 (share %)