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Cyberwarfare, 2008-2018

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Publication date: 06/11/2008
Number of Pages: 123

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Table of Contents
Companies Listed

Report Details

Cyber attacks have for some time been no longer in the realm of fiction or film, but a cause for concern in the real world. Although annoying acts such as website defacements and virus spread have become fairly common, the cyber attacks in the Baltic state of Estonia in early 2007 managed to disrupt that country's financial system for a few weeks. There were concerns that this could be just the tip of the iceberg in computer network attacks; certainly, it was an event that showed how effective attacks on IT networks and systems could be, even at national level. Certainly, the consequences would be much more significant if those attacks had occurred on a greater scale, attacking central computers in government, policing and defence, in a nation or group of nations. It has been suggested that those attacks were a foretaste of what dedicated hackers belonging to terrorist groups or hostile powers could do, constituting a new form of warfare - cyberwarfare. Such threats would be far more serious than those of amateur hackers, despite the inconvenience these have caused. Furthermore, professional hacking groups or cells are likely to be far harder to repel, locate, close down, capture and convict. How can you compete with this?

In this new defence market report, Cyberwarfare, 2008-2018, visiongain analyses the cyberwarfare market in detail, covering its range from defensive to offensive capabilities. The cyberwarfare market is already large and growing, with most of the spending at present devoted to cyber defence. Visiongain expects the market to grow consistently from 2008 onwards. Rumours of developing cyber offensive capabilities and actions will further induce nations to do more to protect their vital networks, as well as stimulate the development of cyberwarfare capabilities as a natural progression in defence. The interest is strong among many nations to develop or improve their abilities to deal with cyberwarfare, providing significant opportunities for companies involved in computer protection and IT systems hardware, software and services in general. Are you and your company prepared to capture a key market share in these countries? How will your company best target these attacks?

There is now a realisation among many governments and militaries that "cyberspace" has become a new battleground, possibly on par with other recognised battle spaces in conventional warfare and defensive operations.

Why you should buy this report:
This new visiongain report - Cyberwarfare, 2008-2018 - describes the present and potential market for defence cybersecurity and related defensive operations, with relevant data and informed opinion. This information is equally valuable to both defence procurement operations and to relevant technology providers.

This report provides a market outlook for cyberwarfare, focusing on the following aspects:
• Overview of the threats from cyber attacks as well as key tools and solutions.
• A survey of cyber attack incidents and resulting programmes in key countries in Europe, North America and the Asia-Pacific.
• A discussion of factors that influence the development of the cyberwarfare market.
• Key companies involved in the cyberwarfare market, including government and military cybersecurity.
• Forecasts for the 12 leading national markets.
• Experts’ views on the issues and outlook for cyberwarfare, including 5 full transcriptions of interviews with leading authorities.

Visiongain believes that the cyberwarfare market has the capability to expand steadily from the present onwards throughout the foreseeable future. Governments and private organisations are preparing for the real threats of attacks at innumerable potential locations in their vast information systems networks. The increasing sophistication of, and growing reliance, on computer systems and networks by the military, government agencies and critical infrastructure makes security there imperative. Potentially, hostile forces could cause more disruption by those means than by conventional military and terrorist attacks, especially with heightened physical security after the September 11 attacks in the US and later bombings in Madrid and London.

Visiongain believes that cybersecurity is among the key areas in which militaries and governments will invest significantly, despite the global economic downturn in 2008. Conventional thinking in governments and militaries is that prevention is far better than dealing with the consequences of breached information systems, whether the purpose is spying, disruption or destruction. The risks are simply too great, with IT security companies benefiting from this growing and potentially vast market. Furthermore, IT security is a fast-developing industry, where technological developments in hardware and software, combined with the development of hacking and virus-spreading techniques, demands constant development and updating, with large potential for long-term repeat sales of products and services.

1 Executive Summary

2 Cyber Threats to National Security
2.1 Weapons of Mass Disruption
2.2 A Growing Menace
2.3 Main Types of Cyber Attacks
2.4 Tools for Cyber Attacks
2.4.1 Botnets
2.4.2 DDOS
2.4.3 Malware
2.5 Tools vs. Cyber Attacks
2.5.1 Firewalls
2.5.2 VPNs
2.5.3 Intrusion Detection and Prevention
2.5.4 Vulnerability Scanning
2.5.5 Network Access Control
2.5.6 Computer Forensics Tools
2.6 Use of Non-Public Internet
2.6.1 SIPRNet
2.6.2 NATO's Cronos
2.7 'Nervous System’ of Critical Infrastructure
2.8 Government, Military Networks ‘Under Constant Attack’
2.9 Unrecognised Costs in Cyber Defence
2.10 Developing Cyber Offensive Capabilities
2.10.1 Fighting in Cyberspace: Mission and Next Steps
2.10.2 ‘Cyber Favours the Offensive’
2.11 Recent Notable Incidents of Cyberwarfare
2.11.1 Estonia 2007
2.11.2 Georgia-Russia 2008
2.11.3 Alleged Chinese Cyber Attacks on Western Systems
2.11.3.1 Attacks on EU Systems 2007
2.11.3.2 'Titan Rain' Attacks on US Systems

3 Overview of Global Cyberwarfare Market
3.1 Market Poised for Increasing Growth with Clear Leaders
3.2 Cyberwarfare Submarkets
3.3 Nations are Actively Pursuing Improved Cyberwarfare Capabilities
3.4 Defending Against State-Backed Cyber Attackers Requires Greater Resources
3.5 US Leads in Cyberwarfare
3.6 Comprehensive National Cybersecurity Initiative (CNCI)
3.6.1 CNCI Core Programmes
3.6.2 CNCI Focus Areas
3.7 ‘Cyber Storm’ Exercises
3.8 US National Cyber Security Centre
3.9 US Air Force Cyber Command Rises and Falls
3.9.1 Grand Plans for AFCyber Questioned
3.9.2 US Army Creates Network Warfare Battalion
3.9.3 US Navy to Enhance Cyberwarfare Capability
3.9.4 USAF Suspends AFCyber
3.9.5 USAF Assigns Cyberwarfare Role to Space Command
3.9.6 Joint Command Possible for Cyberwarfare
3.10 NATO Forms Cyber Defence Centre in Estonia
3.11 Bright Outlook for Network Defenders

4 Forecasts for Leading Cyberwarfare Markets
4.1 UK Cyberwarfare Market 2007-2018
4.2 France Cyberwarfare Market 2007-2018
4.3 Germany Cyberwarfare Market 2007-2018
4.4 Italy Cyberwarfare Market 2007-2018
4.5 Russia Cyberwarfare Market 2007-2018
4.6 US Cyberwarfare Market 2007-2018
4.7 Canada Cyberwarfare Market 2007-2018
4.8 Japan Cyberwarfare Market 2007-2018
4.9 China Cyberwarfare Market 2007-2018
4.10 India Cyberwarfare Market 2007-2018
4.11 Australia Cyberwarfare Market 2007-2018
4.12 South Korea Cyberwarfare Market 2007-2018

5 Forces Affecting the Cyberwarfare Market
5.1 Strong Desire to Defend Vital Networks will Drive Growth of the Cyberwarfare Market
5.2 The Principal Restraints in the Cyberwarfare Market
5.3 The Cyberwarfare Market will Continue to Expand in the Near Future

6 Key Companies in Cyberwarfare and Cybersecurity
6.1 3Com
6.2 BAE Systems
6.3 Bearing Point
6.4 Crypt
6.5 Cisco
6.6 Check Point
6.7 Cyber Defense Agency (CDA)
6.8 Juniper Networks
6.9 F-Secure
6.10 Lockheed Martin
6.11 McAfee
6.12 Northrop Grumman
6.13 PGP Corp
6.14 QinetiQ
6.15 Raytheon
6.16 SAIC
6.17 Secure Computing
6.18 Sophos
6.19 SPI Dynamics
6.20 SRA International
6.21 Symantec
6.22 Tata
6.23 TDi
6.24 Thales
6.25 Unisys

7 Experts’ Views on Cyberwarfare
7.1 Suleyman Anil, Head of NATO Computer Incident Response Capability Co-ordinating Centre (NCIRC CC)
7.2 Greg Day, Security Analyst for EMEA (Europe, Middle East, Africa) of Antivirus and Security Software Vendor McAfee
7.3 Mikko Hypponen, Chief Research Officer of Antivirus and Security Software Maker F-Secure
7.4 O Sami Saydjari, President of US-based IT Security Consulting Company Cyber Defense Agency (CDA)

8 Conclusions

List of Tables
Table 3.1 World Cyberwarfare Sales Forecast, 2008-2018
Table 3.2 World Cyberwarfare Sales CAGR
Table 3.3 Cyberwarfare Sales in Leading Markets by Market Share: 2007, 2013, 2018
Table 3.4 World Cyberwarfare Submarkets Sales Forecast, 2008-2018
Table 3.5 World Cyberwarfare Submarkets Sales CAGR
Table 3.6 World Cyberwarfare Sales and Market Share by Submarket: 2007, 2013, 2018
Table 4.1 Leading Markets Cyberwarfare Sales Forecast, 2008-2018
Table 4.2 UK Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Table 4.3 UK Cyberwarfare Sales CAGR
Table 4.4 France Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Table 4.5 France Cyberwarfare Sales CAGR
Table 4.6 Germany Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Table 4.7 Germany Cyberwarfare Sales CAGR
Table 4.8 Italy Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Table 4.9 Italy Cyberwarfare Sales CAGR
Table 4.10 Russia Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Table 4.11 Russia Cyberwarfare Sales CAGR
Table 4.12 US Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Table 4.13 US Cyberwarfare Sales CAGR
Table 4.14 Canada Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Table 4.15 Canada Cyberwarfare Sales CAGR
Table 4.16 Japan Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Table 4.17 Japan Cyberwarfare Sales CAGR
Table 4.18 China Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Table 4.19 China Cyberwarfare Sales CAGR
Table 4.20 India Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Table 4.21 India Cyberwarfare Sales CAGR
Table 4.22 Australia Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Table 4.23 Australia Cyberwarfare Sales CAGR
Table 4.24 South Korea Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Table 4.25 South Korea Cyberwarfare Sales CAGR
Table 5.1 SWOT Analysis, Cyberwarfare 2007-2018

List of Figures
Figure 3.1 World Cyberwarfare Sales Forecast, 2007-2018
Figure 3.2 Cyberwarfare Sales Country Share, 2007
Figure 3.3 Cyberwarfare Sales Country Share, 2013
Figure 3.4 Cyberwarfare Sales Country Share, 2018
Figure 3.5 World Cyberwarfare Submarkets Sales Forecast, 2007-2018
Figure 3.6 Cyberwarfare Sales by Share, 2007
Figure 3.7 Cyberwarfare Sales by Share, 2013
Figure 3.8 Cyberwarfare Sales by Share, 2018
Figure 4.1 UK Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Figure 4.2 France Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Figure 4.3 Germany Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Figure 4.4 Italy Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Figure 4.5 Russia Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Figure 4.6 US Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Figure 4.7 Canada Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Figure 4.8 Japan Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Figure 4.9 China Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Figure 4.10 India Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Figure 4.11 Australia Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018
Figure 4.12 South Korea Cyberwarfare Sales, 2007-2018

Companies Listed

3Com
BAE Systems
Bearing Point
BeCrypt
Check Point
Cisco
Cyber Defense Agency (CDA)
DHS National Cyber Security Division (NCSD)
Estonia Computer Emergency Response Team (CERT)
F-Secure
General Secretariat for Defence and National Security
(SGDSN France)
Hewlett-Packard
Indian Army Cyber Security Establishment (ACSE)
Juniper Networks
L'Agence de la sécurité des systèmes d'information
Lockheed Martin
McAfee
National Defence Industrial Association (NDIA)
NATO Computer Incident Response Capability - Co-ordinating Centre (NCIRC CC)
NATO Cooperative Cyber Defence Center of Excellence (CCD COE in Tallinn, Estonia)
North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO)
Northrop Grumman
People's Liberation Army (PLA) China
PGP Corp
QinetiQ
Raytheon
SAIC
Secure Computing
Security of Information Systems Agency (France)
Sophos
SPI Dynamics
SRA International
Symantec
Tata Communications
TDi
Thales
UK Ministry of Defence (MoD)
Unisys
US Air Force (USAF)
US Army Intelligence and Security Command (Inscom)
US Army Network Warfare Battalion
US Department of Defence (DOD)
US Department of Homeland Security (DHS)
US Navy Network Warfare Command (Netwarcom)
US Strategic Command (Stratcom)
USAF Cyber Command (AFCyber)
USAF Space Command

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REPORT

Cyberwarfare, 2008-2018

Report Details

Table of Contents

Companies Listed