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REPORT

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UMA-enabled dual-mode handsets and 3G femtocells 2007-2012: Market analysis and forecasts

UMA-enabled dual-mode handsets and 3G femtocells 2007-2012: Market analysis and forecasts

  • Publication date: 01/05/2007
  • Number of Pages: 96
  1. Report Details
  2. Table of Contents
  3. Companies Listed

Report Details

The aim of UMA-enabled dual-mode handsets is that it enables you as a GSM mobile operator to offer fully converged connectivity using your existing core network and WLAN access points in the home or enterprise. Your subscribers will seamlessly roam from your cellular network to a WLAN, maintaining the call as they move from one to the other.

When UMA dual-mode handsets arrive then true seamless fixed, mobile roaming will be a reality for cellular operators. Read this report today to understand how it can work for you.

As cellular operators increase the variety of services and applications they offer to their customers the issue of in-building coverage increases in significance. Also, all mobile carriers aim to accelerate the fixed to mobile substitution trend. 

Both dual-mode handsets and home base-stations will be used by operators to enable them to fulfil their strategies. This report compares the UMA dual-mode handset service with femtocells, which will become commercially available before the end of the year 2007.

Key findings of this study include:

• Although UMA technology is already available and deployed by a number of cellular carriers it is not yet used with 3G. The UMA standard will not be fully compliant with UMTS before the end of the year by which time home base-stations will have been made commercial. A large number of UMA enabled 3G handsets is not expected and therefore it seems that femtocells which can work with all UMTS terminals have an advantage when it comes to 3G.
• Both UMA dual-mode handsets and femtocell services will be priced similarly
• There will be applications specific to femtocells which will initially relate to presence based activation
• Femtocells will be used with standards beyond HSPA and some vendors claim that by using home base-stations first, carriers can delay their investment in macro-cell infrastructure.
• Although femtocells are expected to have a negative overall effect on the dual-mode handset market both technologies are expected to survive with new handover techniques based on SIP such as VCC emerging.

By reading this exclusive management report you will know:

• Exactly how many femtocells will be in operation through to 2012?
• How to target the market for UMA dual-mode handsets and femtocells?
• Which platforms and networks will be most successful in UMA?
• Which services, features and opportunities do UMA dual-mode handsets and femtocells will support?
• Who your major competitors and partners will be in this market?
• What are the opportunities, drivers and threats for producers and operators?

Who will read this report?

Directors, VP and Senior managers in:
- Mobile/ Cellular carriers and operators
- Fixed/ landline/ broadband carriers
- Infrastructure vendors
- Femtocell access point vendors
- Wi-Fi vendors
- Semiconductor manufacturers
- Software vendors

Table of Contents

Chapter 1. Introduction
1.1  The importance of Convergence
1.2  Convergence and 4G
1.3  Fixed Mobile Substitution
Chart 1.  Mobile only households (Q4 06)
1.3.1  Fixed operators and Fixed Mobile Substitution
1.4  Scope of this Report

Chapter 2. Dual-Mode handset standards and Convergence
2.1  Unlicensed Mobile Access
Chart 2. Number of global wireless hotspots
2.2  The UMA network controller
Figure 1.  Accessing data services through the use of a UMA network controller
2.3  UMA and UMTS
2.4  The Importance of UMA
2.5  UMA general market opportunities
2.6  UMA's role in FMC
2.7  SIP over UMA
Figure 2.  Accessing SIP and IMS services through UMA
2.8  Voice Call Continuity vs UMA for dual-mode handsets
2.8.1  Cost of VCC deployments vs Cost of UMA deployments
Figure 3.  A dual-mode handset connecting to a VCC-compliant network
2.8.2  Cost of VCC handsets vs Cost of UMA handsets
2.8.3  Conclusions of the comparison between the UMA and VCC standards
2.9  UMA Deployments
2.9.1  TeliaSonera
2.9.2  British Telecom
2.9.3  Orange
Chart 3.  Orange France's UMA subscriber growth, Q1 '07
2.9.4  T-Mobile
2.9.5  Telecom Italia Mobile
2.9.6  Table of UMA deployments
Table 1. Key features of UMA deployments
2.9.8  Homezones and O2 Genion
2.9.9  Analysis of UMA strategies

Chapter 3. Femtocells and Dual-Mode Handsets
3.1  In-building coverage and Fixed to Mobile Substitution
Chart 4.  Approximate % of global cellular voice and data usage originating indoors
Chart 5.  Broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants throughout various countries
3.2  Defining Femtocells
3.3  Number of simultaneous users that can be supported through femtocells
3.4  Femtocell Architectures
3.5  Femtocells/Picocells and on-site technical assistance
3.6  Advantages cellular carriers realise when deploying femtocells
Table 2. Advantages cellular operators can realise through the use of femtocells
3.7  OpEx savings carriers can realise through the deployment of femtocells
3.8 Increase in capacity realized through the deployment of femtocells
Chart 6.  Increase in capacity cellular operators can realise through the large scale deployment of femtocells
3.9  Revenues operators can gain through the use of femtocells
3.10  Important technical challenges associated with femtocell deployments
3.10.1  RF interference
3.10.2  Effective Authentication
3.11  Femtocells and the mobile core network
3.11.1  Mobile Network Architectures
Figure 4. UMTS Network Architecture
3.11.2  Integrating femtocells with the mobile core network
3.11.2.1  The Iu-b approach
Figure 5. Integrating femtocells with the mobile core using the Iub interface
3.11.2.2  The Unlicensed Mobile Access (UMA) approach
Figure 6. Integrating femtocells with the mobile core using UMA
3.11.2.3  The Session Initiation Protocol (SIP) approach
Figure 7. Integrating femtocells with the mobile core using SIP
3.12  Which operators will use these methods for integrating femtocells with their core network?
Table 3.  Advantages and Disadvantages of the Iu-b, UMA and SIP approaches to integrating femtocells with the mobile core
Chart 7. Estimated percentage of SIP,UMA and Iu-b femtocell deployments that will take place during the year 2008
3.13  Cost of home access points
Chart 8.  Estimated drop in the average price of femtocell units
3.14  Applications enabled through the use of femtocells
3.15  Femtocells vs UMA enabled dual-mode handsets
Table 4. Key differences between UMA and Femtocells
3.16  Are femtocells likely to survive longer than UMA dual-mode handsets?
3.17  Roadmap for the deployment of 3G femtocells
Figure 8. Roadmap for mobile operator testing, trials and initial deployment
3.18  Femtocells beyond HSPA
3.19  Other Solutions used to enhance in-building coverage
3.19.1  Picocells
3.19.2  Distributed Antennas

Chapter 4. Vendor Products and Strategies
4.1 IP Access
4.2 Ubiquisys
4.3 Ericsson
4.4 RadioFrame Networks
4.5 3Way Networks
4.6 Tatara Systems
4.7  Femtocell Chip implementation issues
4.7.1  PicoChip
4.8  Femtocells for 3GPP2 based networks
4.8.1  Samsung
4.9  Kineto Wireless
4.10  LGC Wireless
4.11  Vendor Strategies on Femtocells and UMA
Table 5. Summary of key vendors & competencies in femtocells

Chapter 5. Convergence Devices
5.1  Dual-Mode Handsets
Chart 9.  Forecast for the number of wi-fi enabled dual-mode handsets globally shipped 2007-2012
Chart 10. Forecast for the revenues generated by the sales of wi-fi enabled dual-mode terminals 2007-2012
5.2  UMA-enabled dual-mode handsets
Table 6.  Commercially available UMA enabled handsets
5.3  UMA Client Software
5.4  UMTS and WiMAX enabled UMA terminals
5.5  SIP enabled UMA handsets
5.6  UMA Subscribers
Chart 11. Number of UMA-enabled handsets shipped globally 2007-2012
Chart 12. Global number of UMA enabled SIP handsets shipped 2007-2012
5.7  VCC Client Software and terminals
5.8  Cost of DMH vs Cost of Femtocell Unit
5.9  Dual Mode wi-fi/cellular handset considerations
5.10  UWB and future handsets
5.10.1  UWB Applications
5.10.2  UWB and SK Telecom

Chapter 6. Market Opportunities
6.1  Residential opportunities for femtocells
6.2  UMA enabled dual-mode handsets and Femtocell enterprise opportunities
6.3  Which type of Operator will deploy a dual-mode handset service and which femtocells?
6.4  Pricing of Voice over Wi-fi and femtocell services
6.5  Effect of femtocells on the dual-mode handset market
6.6  Forecast for the number of femtocells shipped,  2007-2012
Chart 13.  Forecast for the number of femtocell units expected to ship globally between the years 2007-2012
Chart 14. Forecast for the number of global users of femtocell products, 2007-2012
6.7  Comparison of Femtocell and DMH forecast
6.8  Where will cellular over IP technology be deployed?
Chart 15. Estimated percentage of European, North American and Asia-Pacific femtocell deployments between 2008-2011

Chapter 7. Conclusions

Companies Listed

3GPP
3Way Networks
AirWalk Communications
Alcatel-Lucent
Alvarion
BenQ
BT
CMCS
Comneon
Ericsson
France Telecom
Golden Telecom
Hellosoft
HP
IP Access
Kineto Wireless
Korea Telecom
LG
LGC Wireless
Motorola
NEC
NewStep Networks
Nokia
Nokia-Siemens
Nortel
O2 UK
Orange
Picochip
RadioFrame Networks
Samsung
Saunalahti
SFR
SimCom
SK Telecom
Softbank Mobile
Sonus Networks
Sprint-Nextel
Staccato Communications
Tatara Systems
Telecom Italia
Telecom Italia Mobile
Telefonica
Telenor
Telia
Telia-Sonera
Thomson
T-Mobile
Ubiquisys
Vodafone